St. Louis @ Los Angeles picks

Teoscar Hernandez has 18 bombs on the year, and 11 have come at home. He’ll face left-hander Matthew Liberatore today, and Hernandez is batting .310 versus southpaws with six round-trippers. 

In June, Ohtani didn’t pitch more than two innings in a single outing. In July, Los Angeles ramped that up to three innings each start. Now that August has rolled around, the ball club is likely going to increase his workload a bit before the playoffs, which is why I’m liking the Over tonight in Ks. Ohtani has eight punchouts in seven innings at home so far in 2025.

The St. Louis starter is pushing his innings total as he sits at 109 innings after pitching a career high 86 last year. The extra work might be slowing him down as he has just four punchouts over his last three starts that have totaled 11+ innings. In his last three starts, he has thrown 85, 77, and 73 pitches, so the leash is getting low and he has a tough matchup vs. the Dodgers today in what is one of the few good hitting parks today. He’s a low-K% pitcher paying plus money in a tough setting where he might not throw 80 pitches. THE BAT is projecting 83 pitches and 3.56 strikeouts. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #6 park in the league for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the same side that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Pedro Pages will be at a disadvantage in today's game.. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pedro Pages has experienced some negative variance given the .031 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.

When estimating his home run skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. In the last 7 days, Nolan Gorman's 83.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Ivan Herrera's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Shohei Ohtani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Dodger Stadium ranks as the #1 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in Dodger Stadium.. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.