Milwaukee @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
MIL vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
Through four appearances with Atlanta, Joey Wentz boasts a 1.50 ERA and 0.72 WHIP. Meanwhile, Brewers SP Freddy Peralta is 12-5 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in his second All-Star season. The Under's the play at Truist Park today.
Total RBIs

Drake Baldwin o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Drake Baldwin's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Christian Yelich has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.5-mph EV.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, William Contreras will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Danny Jansen o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Joey Wentz throws from, Danny Jansen will have an advantage today.. Danny Jansen has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season's 90.5-mph EV.. There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen's launch angle from last season's 21.6° to 24.8° this year.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge today.. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Harris II is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #4 park in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Total RBIs

Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Andrew Vaughn will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today.
Outs Recorded

Joey Wentz u14.5 Outs Recorded (+160)
Projection 14.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wentz to throw 85 pitches in this game (12th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The #8 venue in MLB for boosting base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Truist Park profiles as the #4 stadium in MLB for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's matchup.