New York @ Texas picks

Nathan Eovaldi just finished off July with a 0.59 ERA over five starts. Meanwhile, the Rangers, as a team, have been playing better, winning two of their last three games. I will gladly take Eovaldi to record a win at solid plus money. I simply don’t believe there should be this much of a deviation between the moneyline and his price to record a win.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. Last year, Aaron Judge had an average launch angle of 19.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today's game.. Trent Grisham has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.9% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Ben Rice's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.7% up to 35.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge today.. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made significant strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 19.2% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage in today's game.

The best projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the New York Yankees.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Nathan Eovaldi (46.9% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in New York's projected batting order.. Nathan Eovaldi's fastball velocity has fallen 2.1 mph this year (93.3 mph) below where it was last year (95.4 mph).. Considering the 1.03 discrepancy between Nathan Eovaldi's 1.49 ERA and his 2.52 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and should negatively regress going forward.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Rowdy Tellez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 8.1% rate last year to 16.1% this year.. In the past week, Rowdy Tellez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.1% up to 30%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. Last year, Aaron Judge had an average launch angle of 19.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.3°.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in the league.. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.4°) is significantly better than his 16.9° angle last year.