Kansas City @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, John Rave has had bad variance on his side this year. His .269 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .300.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Ryan Bergert throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. As far as temperature and humidity go, the best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for mound aces.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the last 14 days. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Vinnie Pasquantino's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph in recent games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Bobby Witt Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage today. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (16.1°) is significantly higher than his 11.9° figure last year. In the last two weeks, Adam Frazier has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 28.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jonathan India will have an advantage in today's game.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nick Loftin will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Nick Loftin pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Nick Loftin has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.3-mph average to last year's 83.6-mph EV. Nick Loftin's launch angle this year (17.1°) is quite a bit better than his 9.8° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Maikel Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Abraham Toro hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Abraham Toro will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Kyle Isbel has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph EV.

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. David Hamilton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert today. David Hamilton will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. David Hamilton has been unlucky this year, compiling a .224 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .280 — a .056 disparity.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Romy Gonzalez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Romy Gonzalez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last season's 92.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Story is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Trevor Story has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge in today's matchup. Randal Grichuk pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Randal Grichuk's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 41.7% on the season to 60% in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 field in baseball for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Bergert in today's game. Wilyer Abreu pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. In the past 7 days, Ceddanne Rafaela's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.3%.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luke Maile will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet today. Luke Maile hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Fenway Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest. Carlos Narvaez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Carlos Narvaez has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.5-mph average. Carlos Narvaez has posted a .316 BABIP this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.