San Diego @ Arizona Picks & Props

In MLB, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. There has been a decrease in Ketel Marte's average exit velocity this year, from 94 mph last year to 90.7 mph now Over the last 14 days, Ketel Marte's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.4°. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.261) provides evidence that Ketel Marte has been very fortunate this year with his .288 actual batting average.

In today's matchup, Jackson Merrill is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Blaze Alexander's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Blaze Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against JP Sears in today's matchup.

In MLB, Chase Field's centerfield fences are the 3rd-deepest. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.9-mph mark last year has fallen off to 85.7-mph. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Luis Arraez has had positive variance on his side this year. His .322 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s launch angle of late (4.6° in the past two weeks) is considerably lower than his 8.1° seasonal angle.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Manny Machado's launch angle recently (1.6° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 14.3° seasonal figure.

Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Gavin Sheets will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt today. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Ramon Laureano has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Out of all the teams today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Jorge Barrosa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Tyler Locklear is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. James McCann will have the handedness advantage against JP Sears today. Out of all the teams today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

Hitting from the same side that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Xander Bogaerts encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 91.4-mph in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Out of all the teams today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to more offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Extreme flyball hitters like Alek Thomas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like JP Sears. Out of all the teams today, the 6th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Jose Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.