Baltimore @ Philadelphia picks

Kyle Schwarber has six long balls in his last 10 games, including his 38th of the season on Sunday. Tonight, he faces Orioles LHP Cade Povich, who has surrendered 10 home runs in 13 outings.

Kyle Schwarber is sporting a .272 average on the year with a ridiculous .379 ISO. Of his 38 homers, 15 have come against lefties (40%) despite significantly more at-bats against right-handed arms. He matches up well against Orioles LHP Cade Povich's arsenal, boasting excellent numbers against all three of his primary offerings.

Tyler O'Neill projects as the 13th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Tyler O'Neill will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Jesus Luzardo) in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the game.. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Tyler O'Neill projects as the 13th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Tyler O'Neill will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Dylan Carlson's launch angle in recent games (13° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 17.6° seasonal mark.

Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

When assessing his home run ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Colton Cowser has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Colton Cowser has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.4% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Home runs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 85°.. Jordan Westburg will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Harrison Bader will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's game.. Harrison Bader pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Harrison Bader will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Harrison Bader has averaged 25.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.