Baltimore @ Chicago Picks & Props

Wrigley Field grades out as the #24 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Wrigley Field's RF fences are the 5th-deepest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among every team today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Tyler O'Neill has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 18.6% seasonal rate to 34.6% over the past two weeks.

Jeremiah Jackson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge today. Colton Cowser has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Colton Cowser has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 10.6% to 17.2%. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 46.5% on the season to 53.8% over the past 14 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dylan Carlson's true offensive skill to be a .306, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .046 difference between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Alex Jackson pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past two weeks, Alex Jackson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 25% up to 26.7%. Alex Jackson has exhibited some good exit velocity metrics lately, averaging 105.7-mph on his flyballs in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Coby Mayo has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Coby Mayo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph of late. Over the last two weeks, Coby Mayo's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's game. Matt Shaw has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 86.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 83.8-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck this year. His .221 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. This season, Adley Rutschman has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.7 mph compared to last year's 89.5 mph mark. In the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Jackson Holliday has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jordan Westburg is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Brandon Young in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 14 days, Ian Happ's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph in recent games.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 15th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner's launch angle this season (13.2°) is quite a bit better than his 10.1° angle last year. In the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Young today. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.8% to 48.8%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the majors. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best batter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Young in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Carson Kelly's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 18.2%.