Milwaukee @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park grades out as the #26 stadium in the game for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 36%. Brad Lord will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew Vaughn in today's game. Andrew Vaughn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Nationals Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-least humidity of all games today at 36%. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Brice Turang's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.

Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today. Blake Perkins has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well in recent games, compiling a 24.9° angle on such balls in the past two weeks. Sporting a .322 BABIP since the start of last season, Blake Perkins grades out in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jose Tena will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup. Jose Tena has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Jose Tena with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Henderson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Tena will hold that advantage in today's game.

Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. The switch-hitting Drew Millas will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Logan Henderson. Extreme groundball batters like Drew Millas tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Henderson. Drew Millas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball batters like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Sal Frelick will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

Isaac Collins is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Isaac Collins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today. Isaac Collins has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days. Isaac Collins has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.9-mph.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Logan Henderson in today's game. Josh Bell has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today. In the past week's worth of games, William Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 16.7%.

Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Anthony Seigler will have an advantage in today's game. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Daylen Lile is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Logan Henderson throws from, Daylen Lile will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Daylen Lile will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Hitters such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Henderson who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 87-mph average to last year's 84.9-mph mark. Compared to his seasonal average of 2.9°, Jacob Young has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 40° mark in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brady House has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Brady House will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Brady House has compiled a .266 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Riley Adams has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Riley Adams's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.7%. Riley Adams has been unlucky this year, compiling a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .046 deviation. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Riley Adams has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 94th percentile.

Caleb Durbin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.1°, Caleb Durbin has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.2° figure in the last two weeks. As it relates to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.29 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 94th percentile.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.