Milwaukee @ Washington picks

Nationals Park grades out as the #21 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.9% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.. Jacob Misiorowski has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 12.69 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.39 — a 2.30 K/9 gap.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. Over the past 7 days, Andrew Vaughn's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams playing today.. In the past week's worth of games, William Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.8% up to 16.7%.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Batting from the opposite that Brad Lord throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Christian Yelich has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Christian Yelich has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.1-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 96.3-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Logan Henderson in today's game.. Josh Bell has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Josh Bell are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Misiorowski to throw 79 pitches in this matchup (5th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. In Major League Baseball, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. With 7 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Jacob Misiorowski will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.. Jacob Misiorowski will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Jacob Misiorowski has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 54.9% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

When estimating his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. James Wood will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Henderson in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Henderson.

Anthony Seigler's BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Anthony Seigler is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.. 25% of the time that Anthony Seigler has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pinch hit for.. The #4 field in the league for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Riley Adams has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Riley Adams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, Riley Adams's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 11.7%.. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Riley Adams has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (an advanced standard to assess power), checking in at the 94th percentile.