New York @ Miami picks
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NYY vs MIA Picks
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Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
Things don’t get better for New York on Sunday with Edward Cabrera set to start for the Marlins. Cabrera is 4-5 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the season, but he's been even better than that recently at home. In his last five starts at LoanDepot Park, Cabrera has allowed just four runs in 31 2/3 innings for a 1.14 ERA. Overall, since May 25, he's posted a 2.11 ERA (14 ER in 59 2/3 IP).
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10% rate last season to 18.4% this year.. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 23%.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. In the past two weeks, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph of late.. There has been a significant improvement in Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle from last season's 14.3° to 22.6° this year.. Sporting a 37.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Giancarlo Stanton grades out in the 99th percentile for power.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Gil in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today.. Kyle Stowers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 20.3% this season.
Total RBIs

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game.. Cody Bellinger's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 17.7% on the season to 43.5% over the past week.. Cody Bellinger has been hot in recent games, notching 3 HRs in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph lately.. Over the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today.. Ben Rice has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last 7 days.. Ben Rice has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last season's 90-mph average.
Total RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 21.2° this year.. Austin Wells's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (27.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 14.7° seasonal mark.. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance this year. His .212 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.. Checking in at the 80th percentile for power, Austin Wells has hit 26 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. In the past two weeks, Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 95.4-mph of late.. There has been a significant improvement in Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle from last season's 14.3° to 22.6° this year.. Sporting a 37.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Giancarlo Stanton grades out in the 99th percentile for power.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game.. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Wells's launch angle from last year's 16.9° to 21.2° this year.. Austin Wells's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (27.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably better than his 14.7° seasonal mark.. When it comes to his batting average, Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance this year. His .212 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .238.. Checking in at the 80th percentile for power, Austin Wells has hit 26 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total Bases

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total Bases (-169)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph lately.. Over the last 7 days, Trent Grisham's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.