Houston @ Boston props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Wilyer Abreu usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage today.

The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In MLB, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Lucas Giolito in today's matchup.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Lucas Giolito will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Lucas Giolito will hold the platoon advantage over Yainer Diaz in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yainer Diaz today.

Roman Anthony's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Roman Anthony has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Roman Anthony will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Jarren Duran will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.9% to 27.3%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Lucas Giolito throws from, Carlos Correa meets a tough challenge in today's game. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Carlos Correa in today's game. In the last week, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.2% down to 0%.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense. Lucas Giolito will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena has been lucky this year, compiling a .377 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .048 gap.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Abraham Toro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Framber Valdez in today's game. Abraham Toro hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Connor Wong will have the upper hand in today's game. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Connor Wong has been unlucky this year, notching a .206 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .091 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Mauricio Dubon has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 12.1% to 19.9%. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 42.3% on the season to 57.8% over the past two weeks.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Ramon Urias has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.9% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past week. Ramon Urias has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.1-mph. Over the past 7 days, Ramon Urias's 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 12.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the league for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Jesus Sanchez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Christian Walker is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Christian Walker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Despite posting a .306 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Christian Walker has been unlucky given the .022 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Carlos Narvaez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 93.9-mph recently.

Trevor Story's BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Trevor Story is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Trevor Story will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Alex Bregman will have an advantage in today's matchup. Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Romy Gonzalez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Romy Gonzalez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's game. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.