Milwaukee @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
MIL vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
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Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Woodruff in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Josh Bell o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brandon Woodruff.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. In the league, Nationals Park's LF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. William Contreras has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, James Wood will have an edge in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Riley Adams has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Riley Adams has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.4 mph (an advanced standard to study power), grading out in the 94th percentile.
Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Woodruff in today's matchup.. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the slate at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Brandon Woodruff.. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total Bases

Josh Bell u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #2 stadium in the game for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams playing today.. Josh Bell has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week.. Josh Bell's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 14.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.