Atlanta @ Cincinnati picks

From what we can gather, the field at Bristol Motor Speedway will be pointing south, with the wind blowing roughly south to southeast. In what’s a very open-air construct, the ball may be flying out towards left field — and the dimensions aren’t exactly crazy large, with the wall 330 feet down the left field line. As it pertains to the pitching matchup, this could be a factor. Both Spencer Strider and Chase Burns love to pitch to fly balls, and each profile as high-strikeout, high-walk arms who will offer up plenty of balls in the air.

Matt Olson posted just so-so numbers in July after a terrific stretch in June, but I see him rebounding this month with more dominant performances. He bagged his 68th RBI of the year against the Reds in Thursday’s roundest, and I’m grabbing these odds for Olson to drive in another run here. With 47 of his RBI coming against righties, I’m counting on Olson to get the upper hand in his head-to-head clash with Chase Burns.

Elly De La Cruz has never faced Atlanta Braves starter Spencer Strider, but he’s mashed 86 of his 120 hits against righties this year. His elite speed turns singles into doubles, and that work on the basepaths could be the key to cashing this Over in one at-bat. With De La Cruz sitting 13th in the majors in RBI, I like the pedigree for a clutch extra-base hit tonight in this spot.

The Cincinnati rookie has logged a 6.26 ERA through six starts this season, and he’s issued 2+ walks in four of those outings. Chase Burns mixes the good with the bad — he’s piled up 10 strikeouts in three straight games — but I see him struggling to get through this Atlanta order, especially after seeing the Braves club 13 hits in Thursday’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

When assessing his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.

Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Drake Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's game.

When assessing his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

When assessing his home run skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for home runs.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 9th-shallowest right field dimensions among all stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Strider in today's game.. Spencer Strider's high usage percentage of his fastball (54.4% this year) is likely hurting his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Bristol Motor Speedway as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Bristol Motor Speedway has the 8th-lowest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Bristol Motor Speedway sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 11th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.