Seattle @ Athletics picks

The first two games of the series both cashed the Under with ease, sending the Seattle Mariners to 2-7 O/U in their last nine and the Athletics to 1-6 O/U in their last seven. The books see two good hitting teams in a Minor League park with favorable weather for offense, and naturally continue to set the total higher than is typical in MLB games. Both teams have effective bullpens, with the Athletics’ in particular pitching much better lately (3.55 SIERA in July) after a brutal start to the season, and both teams’ closers are available.

Seattle right-hander Bryan Woo is enjoying an All-Star season and has held A’s hitters to a .611 OPS entering this matchup. With Jeffrey Springs carrying a middling ERA+ of 101, back the Mariners to cover the run line at Sutter Health Park.

Lawrence Butler has hit a bit of a slump since coming out of the All-Star break. The A's outfielder is hitting just .116 with a .392 OPS in his last 12 games. That means he won't be looking forward to seeing Bryan Woo tonight. Woo is developing into one of the best young starters in the AL. On top of that, Woo has had Lawrence's number. Lawrence is just 2-for-15 with five strikeouts in his career vs. Woo, so give me Lawrence to put up a donut in the hit column tonight.

The 16.5 total is always a number that can move either way. In today’s case with Jeffrey Springs, that’s to the Under. Sacramento is a tough place to pitch and one of the better hitting parks in baseball which is being aided by 9-mph winds blowing out. It’s a stronger Seattle offense that has added some left-handed power that can match the right-handed Springs who has given up 20 home runs in 120 innings this year. Only eight pitchers have allowed more home runs than Springs. His leash is also something that can help out the Under here as he has gone 95+ pitches just two times over his last nine starts.  

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.

When assessing his home run ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.. In comparison to his 88.3-mph average last year, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.3 mph.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 4th-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Brent Rooker projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Sutter Health Park as the 10th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Sutter Health Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height in the league.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.