Tampa Bay @ New York props

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Taylor Walls's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (22.1° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 14.9° seasonal figure. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.8%. When it comes to his batting average, Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance this year. His .223 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Over the past 7 days, Yandy Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Matt Thaiss will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Posting a 1.66 K/BB rate this year, Matt Thaiss has shown good plate discipline, grading out in the 86th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Junior Caminero has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past week. Junior Caminero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 31.5% to 38.2%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage today. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.8°) is quite a bit better than his 16.9° figure last year. Compared to his seasonal angle of 20.8°, Austin Wells has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (14°) in the last 14 days.

The #4 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output. Chandler Simpson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chandler Simpson in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Chandler Simpson's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.4%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Anthony Volpe has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 96-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today. Giancarlo Stanton has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 96.6-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Jake Mangum has posted a .287 batting average this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Zack Littell. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jasson Dominguez's launch angle lately (41° in the past week's worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 14.8° seasonal mark.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.