Tampa Bay @ New York picks

Will Warren has had a rough July, posting a bloated 6.29 ERA, and four of his last five starts have had teams combining for at least 13 runs. Rays starter Zack Littell is coming off a rough outing in Cincinnati, tagged for 10 hits and five earned runs in a 7-2 loss.

Giancarlo Stanton has left the yard three times in his last six appearances and has at least one hit in four consecutive games. Six of his bombs have occurred against right-handed pitchers, and Rays SP Zack Littell has allowed a mind-boggling 26 home runs in 21 starts.

Littell has serious statistical correction ahead of his unsustainable .261 BABIP and 85.1% strand rate, which is further reinforced by his 4.57 xERA and 4.21 xFIP checking out above his 3.72 ERA. He was also roughed up last time out on the highway, and his road ERA is up to 4.00 for the campaign. Of course, this is a tough matchup, too. The Yankees sport a second-ranked wOBA and league-high ISO against right-handed pitchers.

When estimating his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as Major League Baseball's 5th-best home run batter.. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Giancarlo Stanton has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell is a pitch-to-contact type (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill.. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

When assessing his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split.

When it comes to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Junior Caminero has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as Major League Baseball's 5th-best home run batter.. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Giancarlo Stanton has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Zack Littell is a pitch-to-contact type (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.

When estimating his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's game.

When it comes to his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 92°.. Trent Grisham will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today's matchup.