Atlanta @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
ATL vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Austin Riley o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Austin Riley is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.
Total RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in MLB.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.
Total RBIs

Marcell Ozuna o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Sporting a .340 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Marcell Ozuna finds himself in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.. Marcell Ozuna has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.4 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.
Total RBIs

Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.
Total RBIs

Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Vinnie Pasquantino will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Salvador Perez will hold that advantage today.
Outs Recorded

Seth Lugo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 16.5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Atlanta Braves projected offense projects as the 3rd-best on the slate in terms of overall batting ability.. Scott Barry grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best park in the league for walks.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 93°.