Boston @ Minnesota picks

This is a bounce-back spot for Red Sox righty Lucas Giolito. He allowed two runs or fewer in seven of nine starts before the All-Star break for a tidy 1.90 ERA and 1.12 WHIP, so I’m anticipating a return to form after surrendering nine runs across just 9 1/3 innings over his past two outings. Minnesota has a potential bullpen game on tap, with righty Pierson Ohl likely to pitch a chunk of innings in his first MLB appearance. I expect the Boston lineup to continue its strong July given the Red Sox rank fifth in wOBA and sixth in ISO for the month.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pierson Ohl today.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willi Castro is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. The switch-hitting Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Lucas Giolito.. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

When assessing his home run ability, Trevor Story ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Trevor Story has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Pierson Ohl doesn't generate many whiffs (20th percentile K%) — great news for Story.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kody Clemens has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

Roman Anthony's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage over Pierson Ohl in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.