Tampa Bay @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
TB vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Yankees will be relying on Giancarlo Stanton to produce power with Aaron Judge sidelined. While he hasn’t been in the lineup long since returning from the IL, Stanton has swung the bat well, hitting .275 with seven long balls in just 102 at-bats, the bulk of which have come off right-handed pitching like tonight's opponent, Joe Boyle.
Strikeouts Thrown


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
At Yankee Stadium, Max Fried has racked up 52 punchouts in 52 1/3 frames. On the road, he has 64 in 75. He’s also cashed the Over in strikeouts in three of his previous four home outings, and Tampa sits 15th in the Majors in team strikeouts.
Strikeouts Thrown

Joe Boyle u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 4.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Joe Boyle to be limited in today's game, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 91°.. With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected lineup, Joe Boyle faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.. Joe Boyle will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Joe Boyle has gone to his slider 11.5% less often this season (27.5%) than he did last season (39%).
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jonathan Aranda pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Paul Goldschmidt o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Boyle today.
Total RBIs

Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as the game's 5th-best home run batter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Giancarlo Stanton will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.
Total RBIs

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cody Bellinger's batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.. The weather forecast forecasts the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Joe Boyle throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage today.
Total Bases

Giancarlo Stanton u1.5 Total Bases (-150)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Yankee Stadium projects as the #27 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Yankee Stadium.. Joe Boyle will have the handedness advantage over Giancarlo Stanton in today's matchup.