Tampa Bay @ New York picks

Yandy Diaz has 18 bombs on the year and he’s left the yard four times in his last nine contests. Yankees SP Cam Schlitter has allowed two round trippers in two appearances thus far.

Rasmussen has cashed the Under in punchouts in three of his previous four appearances. In fact, he only had four strikeouts combined in three of those starts. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cameron Schlittler to throw 84 pitches in this game (8th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Edwin Moscoso projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. The Tampa Bay Rays have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Cameron Schlittler in today's game.

Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen's launch angle from last season's 21.6° to 24.8° this year.. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (27° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18° seasonal mark.

Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today.. Extreme groundball bats like Austin Wells are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Cody Bellinger's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Junior Caminero has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 95.8-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today.

When assessing his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 6th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. Junior Caminero has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 95.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height in the league.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 91°.. There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen's launch angle from last season's 21.6° to 24.8° this year.. Danny Jansen's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (27° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 18° seasonal mark.