Atlanta @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today's matchup. Over the past week, Austin Riley's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.2% down to 0%. Austin Riley has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph dropping to 88.4-mph in the past 7 days. By putting up a 4.37 K/BB rate this year, Austin Riley has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 14th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jurickson Profar's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 88.4 mph to 85.3 mph. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 45.9% to 23.8%.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Strider throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a disadvantage in today's game. Today, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (84th percentile). Bobby Witt Jr.'s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 93-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 90.4-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Ozzie Albies's BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's matchup. Ozzie Albies's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 77.6-mph over the last 7 days.

The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage today.

In today's game, Ronald Acuna Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40% rate (97th percentile). Ronald Acuna Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In terms of his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has been lucky this year. His .305 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Drake Baldwin is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Michael Harris II's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Maikel Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Maikel Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Sean Murphy is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°.

The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider in today's game.

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Nick Allen will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #7 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°.

The #7 field in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. John Rave will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today's matchup.