Arizona @ Detroit picks
Comerica Park
AZ vs DET Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Spencer Torkelson loves teeing off on left-handed pitching. He lives for it. Torkelson has hit lefties extremely well this year, posting a .275 average and .343 ISO to date. He faces off against a very exploitable lefty Monday night in Eduardo Rodriguez, who is well past his best-before date. E-Rod has allowed a .307 average and .210 ISO on the season, giving up 1.7 homers per nine innings.
Total RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .247 mark is a fair amount lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Geraldo Perdomo o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams today.. Compared to last year, Geraldo Perdomo has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 19.6% this season.
Total RBIs

Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Adrian Del Castillo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Given Troy Melton's large platoon split, Adrian Del Castillo will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases

Jahmai Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
This year, Jahmai Jones has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 56% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 6th-worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases

Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as MLB's 15th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best batter in MLB.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams today.
Total Bases

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. u1.5 Total Bases (-169)
Projection 1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 6th-worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games today at 88°.. Troy Melton will have the handedness advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's matchup... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Melton's large platoon split.
Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense.. Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.