Seattle @ Los Angeles picks
Angel Stadium
SEA vs LAA Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Logan Gilbert u7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 6.6 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. Logan Gilbert's 94.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.9-mph decrease from last season's 96.6-mph mark.. With a 2.56 discrepancy between Logan Gilbert's 13.10 K/9 and his 10.54 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to negatively regress going forward.
Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.7-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Zach Neto o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Taylor Ward o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Outs Recorded

Kyle Hendricks o15.5 Outs Recorded (+148)
Projection 15.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Seattle Mariners offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate.. Given his reverse platoon split, Kyle Hendricks will be at an advantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team playing today.. Kyle Hendricks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.
Total Bases

Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mike Trout o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jo Adell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #6 field in MLB for overall right-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Luis Rengifo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #6 park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.. Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Luis Rengifo will hold that advantage today.