Chicago @ Chicago picks

Seiya Suzuki is hitting .254 with 26 round trippers and 81 RBIs. And while he has just four home runs this month, he’s hitting .287 on the road compared to .222 at home, slugging 14 long balls away from Wrigley Field. Facing White Sox RHP Aaron Civale may help, as he's allowed 10 home runs in 12 starts.

With the season he's having, Pete Crow-Armstrong should be practically an auto bet on his Over 1.5 total bases prop anytime he's facing a subpar starter. PCA is eighth in the majors in slugging percentage (.556) with that number surging to .639 this month. He also slugs .610 with the platoon advantage which he'll have today against Aaron Civale. The righty has pitched to a 4.76 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP. Civale is in the bottom 20th percentile in barrel rate and the bottom 15th percentile in ground ball rate which makes a fly ball hitter like PCA a nightmare matchup for him. 

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cade Horton is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Carson Kelly (the Cubs's expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (87%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cade Horton in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the majors.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Over the past week, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 16.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (84%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Lenyn Sosa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 19° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Over the past week, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 16.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the majors.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (81%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best field in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Carson Kelly has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 11.8% this season.