New York @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
NYM vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Kenny Ducey
Betting Analyst
The New York Mets are a lousy 16th in wRC+ to lefties this year, 10 spots lower than the reverse split, and Robbie Ray has looked masterful for the most part this season. His xBA is a cool .214 and his strikeout rate remains a solid 26.2%. He’s been slightly susceptible to walks and power, sure, but the Mets own a weak .131 Isolated Power against lefties with a huge downturn in walk rate as well. The pitching matchup wasn’t on the Mets’ side on Friday, but they wound up winning anyway. This time, I do believe the better of the two starters – and the better offense – will win out.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the league.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in MLB for left-handed batting average.. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in MLB for left-handed batting average.. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Robbie Ray.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Heliot Ramos will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as Major League Baseball's 17th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Matt Chapman will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game.
Total RBIs

Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Willy Adames o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Willy Adames will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

David Peterson u17.5 Outs Recorded (+115)
Projection 16.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 20.7-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. The San Francisco Giants have 7 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in this game.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, David Peterson (51.7% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 FB hitters in San Francisco's projected lineup.