San Diego @ St. Louis picks

Manny Machado is as good a candidate as any to tee off on Matthew Liberatore, because he ranks in the 91st percentile or higher in expected slugging percentage (xSLG), average exit velocity, and hard-hit rate.

Lance Barrett grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.. Matthew Liberatore will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Matthew Liberatore must realize this, because he has used his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 61.3% of the time, ranking in the 82nd percentile.. Given the 0.72 difference between Matthew Liberatore's 7.18 K/9 and his 7.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Ivan Herrera is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Manny Machado will have an edge in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Willson Contreras will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game.

In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Martin Maldonado will have an advantage today.. Martin Maldonado's 17.3° launch angle (a reliable stat to measure a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 81st percentile.

Lance Barrett grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst ballpark in the league for walks.. Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences in MLB.. Matthew Liberatore will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.. Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Matthew Liberatore must realize this, because he has used his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 61.3% of the time, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the league.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's matchup.