Colorado @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Over the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%. In the past 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 91.1 mph to 82.1 mph. From last year to this one, Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.1% to 9.8%. Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had some very poor luck given the .019 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .361.

Jackson Holliday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 16.4% to 13.2%. Jackson Holliday has been lucky this year, posting a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .001 disparity. Jackson Holliday has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 19th percentile with a 3.98 K/BB rate.

The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Trevor Rogers.

Among all stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Antonio Senzatela will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Westburg today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jordan Westburg's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 3.6%. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 48.4% to 40.7%. Over the past 7 days, Jordan Westburg's 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.8%.

The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Orlando Arcia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Orlando Arcia's true offensive skill to be a .273, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .069 deviation between that figure and his actual .204 wOBA.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Brenton Doyle will have the upper hand today. Brenton Doyle hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will be challenged by the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has been lucky this year, compiling a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .341 — a .017 disparity.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Mickey Moniak is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles only has 1 same-handed RP. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Mickey Moniak has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph average.

Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an edge today.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's game. Hunter Goodman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Jordan Beck will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Trevor Rogers in today's game.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Thairo Estrada will have the upper hand today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Ramon Laureano will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Tyler O'Neill will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Tyler O'Neill's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph in recent games.

The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Kyle Farmer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Antonio Senzatela in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #9 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Antonio Senzatela in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The #9 stadium in MLB for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 86°. Jacob Stallings has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jacob Stallings's true offensive ability to be a .266, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .095 difference between that figure and his actual .171 wOBA.