Miami @ Milwaukee picks

We rode with the Milwaukee Brewers in all three games vs. the Seattle Mariners, so we aren't getting off the wagon as they return home to face the lowly Miami Marlins. Freddy Peralta is legit, and the Brewers' offense is scorching hot. 

William Contreras, like many Brewers right now, is in fine form at the plate. He has cleared this line in six of the past nine games, averaging more than 2.5 H+R+R along the way.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Otto Lopez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's game.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Graham Pauley will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Peralta today.. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.2°, Graham Pauley has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20° mark in the last week.. Graham Pauley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .185 BA is a fair amount lower than his .215 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Cal Quantrill's overall pitching talent ranks in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.. Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cal Quantrill is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least on the slate.. The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cal Quantrill in today's game.

On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Eric Wagaman's launch angle lately (24.8° in the last 7 days) is considerably better than his 10.4° seasonal mark.. Eric Wagaman has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 8.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal lower than his 13.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dane Myers has notched a .325 BABIP this year, placing in the 84th percentile.

The 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the league are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Freddy Peralta's slider percentage has fallen by 13% from last year to this one (21.6% to 8.6%) .. Freddy Peralta has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.85 figure is a good deal lower than his 3.77 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).. Freddy Peralta has recorded a .254 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.