Washington @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
WAS vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today.. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph of late.. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.3°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.3° angle over the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Carlos Correa will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.. Carlos Correa will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willi Castro is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past two weeks, Willi Castro's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 8th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today.. In the last week's worth of games, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph of late.. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.3°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 25.3° angle over the past 14 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's matchup.. James Wood has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Outs Recorded

MacKenzie Gore u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Projected catcher Riley Adams grades out as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in baseball for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for MacKenzie Gore today.. MacKenzie Gore's 94.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.2-mph decline from last season's 95.9-mph mark.. The Minnesota Twins have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 16.5° figure is among the highest in baseball this year (#2 overall).
Total Bases

Ty France o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ty France's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Ty France will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.. Ty France will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 49%.