New York @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
NYM vs SF Picks
MLB PicksClay Holmes has been largely successful in his conversion to the starting rotation for the Mets, going 8-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 20 starts this season. But over his last three outings, Holmes has thrown to a 6.46 ERA in 15 1/3 innings of work. The story is largely the same for Giants starter Logan Webb. The 28-year-old righty is 9-7 with a 3.08 ERA on the year, but has allowed 10 earned runs and two homers over 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball hitters like Willy Adames tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
Total RBIs

Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Mike Yastrzemski will have the handedness advantage against Clay Holmes in today's matchup.. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as MLB's 16th-best home run batter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Tyrone Taylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Bats such as Tyrone Taylor with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.5% to 18%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyrone Taylor's true offensive talent to be a .297, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .045 difference between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Chapman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as MLB's 16th-best home run batter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Matt Chapman usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Clay Holmes.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Juan Soto o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors.. Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the league, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 19.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.