Arizona @ Pittsburgh picks

Mike Burrows has not pitched overly well for the Pirates. He has won just one of 11 starts to date and owns an ERA approaching 5.00. Marte owns a .291 average and .400 ISO against righties throwing fastballs this season. He has fared just as well against the changeup, hitting .345 with a .346 ISO.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-coldest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Ryne Nelson in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage in today's game.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Henry Davis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.. Henry Davis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 14.2% on the season to 25% over the past week.. Henry Davis has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .245 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage today.. This season, Andrew McCutchen has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.7 mph compared to last year's 93 mph mark.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today's game.. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last season to 22% this season.

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. In the past 7 days, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 17.1% up to 40%.. Ketel Marte has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph figure.

Eugenio Suarez projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Eugenio Suarez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 32% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage today.. Jack Suwinski will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jack Suwinski has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9% rate last year to 17.2% this season.. There has been a significant improvement in Jack Suwinski's launch angle from last season's 12.5° to 19.1° this year.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-coldest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game.. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage today.. Jack Suwinski will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jack Suwinski has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 9% rate last year to 17.2% this season.. There has been a significant improvement in Jack Suwinski's launch angle from last season's 12.5° to 19.1° this year.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the 5th-coldest weather of all games on the slate at 84°.. Henry Davis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Henry Davis has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV.. Henry Davis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 14.2% on the season to 25% over the past week.