San Diego @ Miami Picks & Props

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game.

Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (91% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game. The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's game.

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Sandy Alcantara will hold the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's game. Graham Pauley has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .188 rate is considerably lower than his .216 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #7 park in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Xavier Edwards's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 85.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 81.2-mph in the last two weeks.

Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last season's 7.3° to 18.2° this season. Elias Diaz's quickness has increased this year. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.9 ft/sec now. Elias Diaz has been unlucky this year, posting a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .027 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Javier Sanoja hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Javier Sanoja will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.284) implies that Javier Sanoja has had some very poor luck this year with his .240 actual batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Batters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dylan Cease who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Eric Wagaman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Eric Wagaman has been unlucky this year, posting a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .027 gap. This year, the hardest ball Eric Wagaman has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.5 mph (a reliable stat to study power), placing in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.4% up to 16.7%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) suggests that Xander Bogaerts has had some very poor luck this year with his .318 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Otto Lopez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres.

Dane Myers's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Dane Myers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dylan Cease who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Dane Myers will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today. Nick Fortes has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.2-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, putting up a .372 wOBA over the past week. Heriberto Hernandez is notably quick, checking in at the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year.

Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game. Agustin Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias's true offensive talent to be a .280, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .021 disparity between that mark and his actual .259 wOBA.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage today. Gavin Sheets's launch angle recently (27.7° in the last week) is considerably better than his 14.1° seasonal mark. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Gavin Sheets has experienced some negative variance this year. His .325 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .345.

Tyler Wade will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Wade has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .214 actual batting average.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Liam Hicks will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Liam Hicks has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.33 K/BB rate. Liam Hicks has posted a .276 batting average this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Jake Cronenworth's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.2%. Posting a 1.58 K/BB rate this year, Jake Cronenworth has displayed strong plate discipline, grading out in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.