San Diego @ Miami picks
loanDepot park
SD vs MIA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup.. Batters such as Jesus Sanchez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dylan Cease who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Agustin Ramirez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 96.3-mph.
Total RBIs

Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball hitters like Otto Lopez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Dylan Cease.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Graham Pauley will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today's game.. Graham Pauley has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .188 rate is considerably lower than his .216 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases

Kyle Stowers u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
LoanDepot Park profiles as the #27 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 4th-deepest right field dimensions in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Kyle Stowers has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 79.1-mph in the past week's worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Elias Diaz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.3-mph mark.. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last season's 7.3° to 18.2° this season.. Elias Diaz's quickness has increased this year. His 24.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.9 ft/sec now.. Elias Diaz has been unlucky this year, posting a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .027 disparity.
Total Bases

Agustin Ramirez u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
LoanDepot Park projects as the #27 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup.. In the last two weeks, Agustin Ramirez's 3.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Heriberto Hernandez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heriberto Hernandez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Heriberto Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot in recent games, putting up a .372 wOBA over the past week.. Heriberto Hernandez is notably quick, checking in at the 84th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dane Myers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Dane Myers's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Bats such as Dane Myers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dylan Cease who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Dane Myers will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Dane Myers's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 44.6% on the season to 62.5% over the past 7 days.
Outs Recorded

Dylan Cease u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #5 venue in baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Dylan Cease (36.8% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 3 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.. Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dylan Cease today.. The Miami Marlins as a unit rank 8th- overall in baseball this year in regard to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.