Kansas City @ Chicago Picks & Props

KC vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Colin Rea logo Colin Rea u16.5 Outs Recorded (-109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has a projected pitch count of 86 pitches and is averaging 88 pitches per start while going Under on this number in 60% of those starts. 
The Wrigley wind will not help him today as it's blowing 14 mph out to left field, and it’s around 90 degrees with good humidity, making some solid hitting conditions, and the reason the total is in double digits. Rea has pitched well but does not get past 90 pitches often — doing so in just three of his last 10. Another big reason Rea could be done after 15 outs is the Cubs’ bullpen. Chicago needed just 19 pitchers from two relievers yesterday after Matthew Boyd’s gem, and eight arms are available and likely need some work. 

Earned Runs Allowed
Colin Rea logo Colin Rea u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Colin Rea has been in top form over the last month. In July alone, he owns a 1.45 ERA across three outings, cashing the Under in earned runs allowed in all of them. He’s only surrendered one earned run in that span.

Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (-125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Ed Scimia image
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Pete Crow-Armstrong continues to be on an absolute tear, and he has done almost all his damage against right-handed pitching. While he’s only hitting .205 against southpaws, PCA is batting .300 with a .946 OPS against righties (like today's opponent, Seth Lugo) with 40 extra-base hits. 

Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report projects the most suitable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against Seth Lugo in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jac Caglianone is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Jac Caglianone has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded
Seth Lugo logo
Seth Lugo u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 16.6 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Seth Lugo's fastball velocity has fallen 1 mph this season (91.2 mph) below where it was last season (92.2 mph).. Seth Lugo has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 2.94 mark is quite a bit lower than his 4.48 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).
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KC vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Chi. Cubs

34%
66%

Total PicksKC 146, CHC 280

Moneyline
KC
CHC

KC vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive talent to be a .328, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .034 disparity between that mark and his actual .362 wOBA. By putting up a 5.24 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 7th percentile.

Pete Crow-Armstrong logo

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Crow-Armstrong's true offensive talent to be a .328, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .034 disparity between that mark and his actual .362 wOBA. By putting up a 5.24 K/BB rate this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has demonstrated weak plate discipline, placing in the 7th percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a disadvantage today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a disadvantage today. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Typically, bats like Bobby Witt Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field ranks as the #21 ballpark in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today. Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Salvador Perez in today's matchup.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez today. Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Salvador Perez in today's matchup.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's game.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's game.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Shaw will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 28.6%.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Matt Shaw will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past week, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 28.6%.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki today. Extreme flyball hitters like Seiya Suzuki tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo. Seiya Suzuki's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki today. Extreme flyball hitters like Seiya Suzuki tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Seth Lugo. Seiya Suzuki's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.5-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Kyle Tucker logo

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Reese McGuire
R. McGuire
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's game.

Reese McGuire logo

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Reese McGuire will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Reese McGuire will hold that advantage in today's game.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Tyler Tolbert Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Tyler Tolbert
T. Tolbert
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball hitters like Tyler Tolbert are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Tyler Tolbert logo

Tyler Tolbert

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Extreme groundball hitters like Tyler Tolbert are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea in today's matchup.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea in today's matchup.

Jac Caglianone Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jac Caglianone
J. Caglianone
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jac Caglianone is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Jac Caglianone logo

Jac Caglianone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jac Caglianone is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jac Caglianone will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Freddy Fermin has put up a .317 BABIP this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Freddy Fermin logo

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Freddy Fermin has put up a .317 BABIP this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

John Rave Total Hits Props • Kansas City

John Rave
J. Rave
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, John Rave will have an edge in today's game. John Rave is remarkably fast, placing in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.31 ft/sec this year.

John Rave logo

John Rave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest temperatures of the day at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, John Rave will have an edge in today's game. John Rave is remarkably fast, placing in the 95th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.31 ft/sec this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
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Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
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