Chicago @ Tampa Bay props

Jonathan Aranda's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 93-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 89.5-mph in the past week. Over the past week, Jonathan Aranda's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.3%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) may lead us to conclude that Jonathan Aranda has had positive variance on his side this year with his .316 actual batting average.

Jake Mangum is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jake Mangum has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-deepest LF fences today. Jake Mangum's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 81.4-mph in the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.9°, Jake Mangum's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.3° in the past 14 days). Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.249) provides evidence that Jake Mangum has had positive variance on his side this year with his .297 actual batting average.

Batting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Yandy Diaz meets a tough challenge today. Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (0.3° in the past 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.5° seasonal figure.

Chandler Simpson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Chandler Simpson has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.6-mph dropping to 81.5-mph in the past two weeks. Chandler Simpson's 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 0th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball hitters like Miguel Vargas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Taj Bradley. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas's true offensive ability to be a .332, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .023 difference between that figure and his actual .309 wOBA.

The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lenyn Sosa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Lenyn Sosa's launch angle this year (19.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.4° figure last year. Lenyn Sosa has compiled a .326 BABIP this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like Junior Caminero tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Cannon. Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand today. There has been a significant improvement in Andrew Benintendi's launch angle from last season's 15.9° to 22.1° this year.

The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jose Caballero has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph EV. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 50.4%. Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Jose Caballero sits with a .328 BABIP this year.

The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Danny Jansen will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen's launch angle from last season's 21.6° to 25° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Robert Jr.'s launch angle this season (18.2°) is significantly better than his 13.1° figure last year. Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky this year, notching a .279 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .039 difference.

Chase Meidroth's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In the last 7 days, Chase Meidroth's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.3% up to 7.1%.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage today. Mike Tauchman has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.9% seasonal rate to 50% over the last week. Over the past 7 days, Mike Tauchman's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Kyle Teel is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Kyle Teel will have an advantage in today's game.

The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage today. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.8% to 20.2%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Taylor Walls's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.241) implies that Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck this year with his .213 actual batting average.

The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge in today's game.

The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Josh Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.206) may lead us to conclude that Josh Rojas has been unlucky this year with his .177 actual batting average.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.