Detroit @ Pittsburgh picks
PNC Park
DET vs PIT Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Troy Melton in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Tommy Pham o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Troy Melton.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's game.. Tommy Pham has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 7th-best hitter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°.. Riley Greene has big-time HR ability (93rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bailey Falter is a pitch-to-contact type (16th percentile K%) — great news for Greene.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 87°.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Troy Melton.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Troy Melton throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Zach McKinstry o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 51.9%.. Zach McKinstry has recorded a .278 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Sporting a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Zach McKinstry finds himself in the 77th percentile.. Zach McKinstry has posted a .335 BABIP this year, placing in the 90th percentile.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 86°.. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 25%.. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Wenceel Perez's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 25%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Troy Melton in today's game.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst among every team on the slate today.