San Francisco @ Atlanta Picks & Props

SF vs ATL Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Landen Roupp logo Landen Roupp o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Pitch count projection sits around 85, but that may be conservative. He threw 100+ pitches in back-to-back starts before the All-Star break, showing he can handle a full workload. He's also striking out more than a batter per inning on the road — a key edge in hitter-friendly conditions where swing-and-miss stuff plays up. Atlanta remains a top-5 team in strikeout rate over the last 30 days, making this a strong matchup. Six innings and 5+ Ks is a realistic baseline, with upside for more if the leash is longer than projected.

Hits Allowed
Davis Daniel logo Davis Daniel u5.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Davis Daniel threw just 73 pitches in his MLB starting debut, and with Atlanta’s bullpen fully rested (only one arm used recently), expect a quick hook if he runs into trouble. However, he can be good if does go long. He’s been sharp in Triple-A (55 hits allowed in 72 IP) and has given up just 2 hits over 5 innings in his first two MLB appearances. That said, the Braves seem intent on managing his workload. With hot weather potentially factoring in, the realistic ceiling is around 4–5 innings. There’s value in Unders on outs recorded and on pitcher props tied to deeper innings — even if he pitches well, volume could be capped.

MoneyLine
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-106)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Landen Roupp’s 4.26 xFIP and .333 BABIP signal looming regression. The red-hot Braves lineup has scored 31 runs across the last five games. Meanwhile, Atlanta SP Davis Daniel lacks overpowering stuff but has impressed over a handful of innings with a 1.80 ERA, and the Giants’ 22% K rate against righties plays to his strengths.

Total RBIs
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs
Ozzie Albies logo
Ozzie Albies o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.
Total RBIs
Jurickson Profar logo
Jurickson Profar o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs
Michael Harris II logo
Michael Harris II o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs
Ronald Acuna Jr. logo
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in baseball.. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 88°.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.
Total RBIs
Mike Yastrzemski logo
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 88°.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers logo
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.
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SF vs ATL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

61% picking San Francisco vs Atlanta to go Under

39%
61%

Total PicksSF 179, ATL 283

Total
Over
Under

SF vs ATL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ronald Acuna Jr. Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ronald Acuna Jr.
R. Acuna Jr.
right outfield RF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Landen Roupp will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. As it relates to his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has had some very good luck this year. His .328 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.

Ronald Acuna Jr. logo

Ronald Acuna Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Landen Roupp will hold the platoon advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today. As it relates to his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has had some very good luck this year. His .328 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.

Luis Matos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Luis Matos
L. Matos
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Luis Matos logo

Luis Matos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Luis Matos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jung Hoo Lee in today's matchup. Jung Hoo Lee's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 86.8-mph. Jung Hoo Lee has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 84-mph over the past 14 days. Jung Hoo Lee's launch angle recently (-3° over the last week) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° seasonal mark.

Jung Hoo Lee logo

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jung Hoo Lee in today's matchup. Jung Hoo Lee's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 86.8-mph. Jung Hoo Lee has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph dropping to 84-mph over the past 14 days. Jung Hoo Lee's launch angle recently (-3° over the last week) is quite a bit worse than his 12.9° seasonal mark.

Mike Yastrzemski Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Mike Yastrzemski
M. Yastrzemski
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Mike Yastrzemski logo

Mike Yastrzemski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Daniel throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's game.

Dominic Smith logo

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Daniel throws from, Dominic Smith will have an advantage in today's game.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Davis Daniel in today's matchup.

Patrick Bailey logo

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Davis Daniel in today's matchup.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year. His .314 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

Casey Schmitt logo

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Casey Schmitt has been unlucky this year. His .314 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .348.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Ozzie Albies logo

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Rafael Devers
R. Devers
designated hitter DH • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Rafael Devers logo

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Davis Daniel will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 4% over the last 14 days. Heliot Ramos's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (9.8°) is significantly lower than his 15.8° angle last season.

Heliot Ramos logo

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Davis Daniel will hold the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 4% over the last 14 days. Heliot Ramos's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (9.8°) is significantly lower than his 15.8° angle last season.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Matt Chapman logo

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Matt Olson logo

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Jurickson Profar logo

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Michael Harris II
M. Harris II
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Michael Harris II logo

Michael Harris II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Michael Harris II's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Wilmer Flores's quickness has gotten better this year. His 23.99 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.45 ft/sec now.

Wilmer Flores logo

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Wilmer Flores's quickness has gotten better this year. His 23.99 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.45 ft/sec now.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Willy Adames logo

Willy Adames

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°.

Drake Baldwin Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Drake Baldwin
D. Baldwin
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Drake Baldwin's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Drake Baldwin logo

Drake Baldwin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Drake Baldwin's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 5th-best park in the majors for lefty BABIP. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Nick Allen Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Nick Allen
N. Allen
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Nick Allen logo

Nick Allen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

Sean Murphy logo

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 field in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report projects the highest temperatures on the schedule today at 91°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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2 charro23 5-4-1 +17850
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1 dotlife162 3-7-0 +19420
2 nobrainer 9-1-0 +15395
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4 CigarSt22 6-4-0 +11461
5 parking 7-2-1 +11165
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8 Ace_Of_Spades 4-6-0 +9730
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10 vlkvlk2012 3-7-0 +9235
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