Chicago @ Tampa Bay props

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game. In today's game, Jake Mangum is at a disadvantage facing the league's 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.1% rate (97th percentile). Extreme flyball hitters like Jake Mangum are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Davis Martin. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Jake Mangum has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 81.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

In today's game, Chandler Simpson is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (99th percentile). Typically, batters like Chandler Simpson who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Davis Martin. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. Chandler Simpson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.6-mph dropping to 81.5-mph over the last 14 days. This year, Chandler Simpson's 0% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bats such as Miguel Vargas with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Miguel Vargas has been unlucky this year, putting up a .310 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .022 gap.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Caballero has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph mark. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43.9% to 50.7%. Jose Caballero has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .218 figure is quite a bit lower than his .235 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Davis Martin throws from, Yandy Diaz will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Yandy Diaz usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Davis Martin. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-worst outfield defense is that of the Chicago White Sox. In the last 14 days, Yandy Diaz's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 6.5°.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Lenyn Sosa has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Lenyn Sosa's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (17.2°) is significantly higher than his 10.9° mark last year. Lenyn Sosa has notched a .329 BABIP this year, checking in at the 87th percentile.

Andrew Benintendi's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Andrew Benintendi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Andrew Benintendi's launch angle this year (22.2°) is considerably higher than his 15.9° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Kyle Teel is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Kyle Teel will have an edge in today's game.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Thaiss will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Martin in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Matt Thaiss will hold that advantage in today's game. Sporting a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Matt Thaiss has displayed favorable plate discipline, placing in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Robert Jr.'s launch angle this season (18.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.1° angle last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Robert Jr.'s true offensive talent to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .039 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .279 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Edgar Quero is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). This year, Edgar Quero has an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, which ranks among the elite in MLB at the 83rd percentile. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Edgar Quero sports a .327 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Chase Meidroth has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 1.3% seasonal rate to 7.1% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage over Davis Martin today. Jonathan Aranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game. Junior Caminero has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today. In the past week's worth of games, Mike Tauchman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.9% up to 50%. In the last week's worth of games, Mike Tauchman's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.205) implies that Josh Rojas has had some very poor luck this year with his .177 actual batting average.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 15.8% to 20%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 20% on the season to 25% over the last two weeks. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance this year. His .258 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Colson Montgomery will have an edge in today's matchup.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.