Cincinnati @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
CIN vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Singer has allowed a higher batting average, SLG%, and ISO. He’s also been hit much harder, conceding 1.3 homers per nine innings vs. lefties compared to just 0.6 per nine vs. righties. James Wood should be the prime beneficiary of this matchup. The left-handed All-Star slugger leads all Nationals batters in OBP, wOBA, SLG%, and ISO against RHP.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Matt McLain has big-time HR ability (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for McLain.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jake Irvin in today's game.. Elly De La Cruz has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin is a pitch-to-contact type (19th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Josh Bell o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Josh Bell has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Spencer Steer o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Bats such as Spencer Steer with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jake Irvin who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Spencer Steer's launch angle in recent games (25.7° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.
Outs Recorded

Jake Irvin u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 17.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Stu Scheurwater grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in today's game.. According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.. The 8th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jake Irvin's 91.6-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 2.3-mph drop off from last season's 93.9-mph figure.
Total Bases

Austin Hays o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Austin Hays has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.1% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days.. Austin Hays has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.
Total Bases

Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Matt McLain has big-time HR ability (77th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (26.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Irvin is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for McLain.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.