Cincinnati @ Washington Picks & Props

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense. Extreme groundball batters like Elly De La Cruz tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin. Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. In the last 14 days, Elly De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.9% down to 0%.

The #3 field in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense. CJ Abrams's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.7-mph in the past week. CJ Abrams's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 13.7° figure last season. Over the last week, CJ Abrams's 0% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%.

When assessing his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, James Wood will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Daylen Lile's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Daylen Lile will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jake Fraley's launch angle this season (17.9°) is significantly better than his 10.9° angle last season. Based on Statcast metrics, Jake Fraley is in the 79th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .335.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bats such as Spencer Steer with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jake Irvin who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Spencer Steer's launch angle in recent games (25.7° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.4° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gavin Lux will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 105.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 14% to 21.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Brady House is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brady House has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Amed Rosario has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Matt McLain has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today. Riley Adams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.4-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 97.4-mph.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Bell has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Josh Bell will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today... and moreover, Singer has a large platoon split. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Hays is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Austin Hays has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 14.1% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days. Austin Hays has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.8-mph EV.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jose Trevino pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin today. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (39.2% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past week, TJ Friedl's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

Noelvi Marte's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 8th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the last 14 days, Noelvi Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.1-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.

Luis Garcia has not yet played a game this season.

Drew Millas has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.