Kansas City @ Chicago Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for pitchers. Nico Hoerner has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Nico Hoerner's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 78.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 8th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Noah Cameron. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Brasier throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan India's true offensive skill to be a .332, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .032 disparity between that mark and his actual .300 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage today. In the last week, Pete Crow-Armstrong's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.8% up to 40%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Justin Turner are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Noah Cameron. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nick Loftin pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Nick Loftin has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year's 83.6-mph average. Nick Loftin's launch angle this season (19.4°) is a considerable increase over his 9.8° angle last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.4°, Nick Loftin has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.5° figure over the past two weeks.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Noah Cameron throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Matt Shaw will hold the platoon advantage over Noah Cameron in today's game. Matt Shaw will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Shaw has had bad variance on his side this year. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today. Michael Busch has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 15.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Michael Busch's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 18.1% to 23.4%.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Brasier in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle lately (4° over the last 7 days) is significantly lower than his 15.9° seasonal figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Bobby Witt Jr. has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks. Bobby Witt Jr. has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93-mph to 96.8-mph over the past 14 days.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In the majors, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 4th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the handedness advantage against Noah Cameron in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Brasier in today's matchup. Jac Caglianone has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.9% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days. Over the last two weeks, Jac Caglianone's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 114.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league. Jac Caglianone has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .146 rate is considerably lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Based on Statcast data, Maikel Garcia is in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .286. In terms of plate discipline, Maikel Garcia's skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Salvador Perez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 14.3% seasonal rate to 26.1% over the past 14 days.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Brasier throws from, John Rave will have an edge in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, John Rave has been unlucky this year. His .271 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305. Ranking in the 94th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.26 ft/sec this year, John Rave is notably quick.