Minnesota @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Byron Buxton will have a disadvantage today. Typically, bats like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as German Marquez. Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Byron Buxton has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .388 mark is a good deal higher than his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. This year, Kody Clemens has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kody Clemens today. Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kody Clemens has been lucky given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311. Posting a .216 batting average this year, Kody Clemens finds himself in the 12th percentile.

Michael Toglia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game. German Marquez will have the handedness advantage against Royce Lewis today. Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Royce Lewis's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 92.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 87.6-mph in the past 14 days. Royce Lewis's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 21.2% to 17.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Extreme groundball batters like Orlando Arcia generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Austin Nola will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willi Castro in today's matchup. Willi Castro has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last week's worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Willi Castro's 22.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 44.4%. Willi Castro has been lucky this year, putting up a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .033 deviation.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.

Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Trevor Larnach's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.2-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.4-mph. Over the last two weeks, Trevor Larnach's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 90.4 mph to 87 mph. Trevor Larnach's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.7°) is significantly lower than his 12° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Jordan Beck's BABIP talent is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Harrison Bader in today's game. Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harrison Bader has been lucky given the .031 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .220 mark is quite a bit lower than his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Yanquiel Fernandez will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan today... and even more favorably, Ryan has a large platoon split. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Tyler Freeman will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today. Despite posting a .367 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has had positive variance on his side given the .040 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

German Marquez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today's game. Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Carlos Correa's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (-0.7° over the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 8.5° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against German Marquez in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today. Ryan Ritter has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 88.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 83.9-mph.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.

Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #1 ballpark in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Mickey Moniak will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage over Ty France today. Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. From last season to this one, Ty France's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 93.3 mph to 91 mph. Ty France has notched a .294 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile. Ty France has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 3.83 K/BB rate.