Boston @ Chicago picks

The Boston Red Sox have won eight of their last 10 games, and the play of Ceddanne Rafaela at the dish is a big reason why. Rafaela has averaged a whopping 3.7 H+R+RBI during that span, clearing Over 1.5 in eight of 10 games along the way.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Alex Bregman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Horton.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage today.. Extreme flyball batters like Seiya Suzuki are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 99% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. In the past two weeks, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph in recent games.. Compared to last year, Ceddanne Rafaela has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.5% to 19.9% this season.

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.6% seasonal rate to 24% in the last 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Ian Happ has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.. Ian Happ has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 92.5-mph.

The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 19.1% to 27%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage today.. Extreme flyball batters like Seiya Suzuki are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Alex Bregman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Horton.