Boston @ Chicago Picks & Props

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Garrett Crochet. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Pete Crow-Armstrong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.6% seasonal rate to 24% in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Romy Gonzalez is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Over the last 14 days, Romy Gonzalez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 17.3% to 33.3%. Romy Gonzalez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last year's 92.3-mph mark. Romy Gonzalez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.1-mph to 100-mph in the last 14 days.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Matt Shaw will have the upper hand in today's game. Matt Shaw will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.304) implies that Matt Shaw has been unlucky this year with his .263 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Ian Happ has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Ian Happ has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 92.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 18th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average ability. Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Nico Hoerner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Roman Anthony's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Roman Anthony will have an edge in today's game. Roman Anthony has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball hitters like Wilyer Abreu generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cade Horton. Wilyer Abreu has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.2-mph mark.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Over the past two weeks, Abraham Toro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph in recent games.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dansby Swanson will have the handedness advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Justin Turner will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Justin Turner generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trevor Story has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph average. In the past 14 days, Trevor Story's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 99% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. In the past two weeks, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Cade Horton today. Masataka Yoshida has put up a .333 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Alex Bregman tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Horton.

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's matchup. Carson Kelly will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have the upper hand today. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. This year, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 91.2 mph, which is one of the best in MLB at the 79th percentile. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Carlos Narvaez sits with a .338 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Berti in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Jon Berti will have an edge in today's matchup. Jon Berti will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jon Berti has suffered from bad luck this year. His .234 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.

Michael Busch has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.