Houston @ Seattle Picks & Props

Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Dylan Moore will have an edge in today's game. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Dylan Moore are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Walter. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Dylan Moore's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 18% to 23.3%.

Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Mitch Garver will have an edge in today's matchup. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Hitters such as Mitch Garver with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Walter who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. This year, Mitch Garver's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 93rd percentile at 96.5 mph.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Taylor Trammell stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Notching a 93.9-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks' worth of games, Taylor Trammell has been in great form recently. Taylor Trammell has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 56.3% of the time in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Jorge Polanco generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Walter. Jorge Polanco will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today. Cole Young has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% over the past 14 days. Over the past two weeks, Cole Young's 64.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.3%.

When estimating his batting average ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 11th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mauricio Dubon has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Compared to last season, Mauricio Dubon has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.1% to 21.8% this season. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 21.8% on the season to 29.6% over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) implies that Mauricio Dubon has suffered from bad luck this year with his .255 actual batting average.

Victor Caratini is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Victor Caratini's launch angle this year (15.6°) is considerably better than his 9.1° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Yainer Diaz has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 20.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph lately. In the past two weeks, Yainer Diaz's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his strong side against Brandon Walter in this game. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Cal Raleigh are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brandon Walter.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter today. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Altuve has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6.7% seasonal rate to 15.6% in the past two weeks. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Jose Altuve sits with a .344 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Benjamin Williamson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Walter in today's game. Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Benjamin Williamson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Benjamin Williamson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.6-mph over the course of the season to 86.6-mph in recent games.

Isaac Paredes is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (47.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 87.2-mph now compared to just 85-mph then. Compared to his seasonal average of 22.9°, Isaac Paredes has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 32.3° figure over the last 14 days. Placing in the 88th percentile, Isaac Paredes sports a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

J.P. Crawford's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. J.P. Crawford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 46.1% on the season to 72.7% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (94% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Donovan Solano will have the upper hand in today's game. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Christian Walker pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 14.5% on the season to 23.5% in the past two weeks. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .289 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .037 disparity.

Zack Short has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Cooper Hummel has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.