Boston @ Chicago Picks & Props

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Over the last 14 days, Abraham Toro's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph lately. There has been a significant improvement in Abraham Toro's launch angle from last year's 12.1° to 15.3° this year.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 18th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Nico Hoerner has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 2.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 7 days. Over the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Masataka Yoshida usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Colin Rea.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today. Carson Kelly has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last season to 12.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today's game. Wilyer Abreu has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.6-mph in the last two weeks.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge in today's game. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against Lucas Giolito in this game. Ian Happ has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the majors. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Roman Anthony will have an advantage in today's matchup. Roman Anthony has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Matt Shaw has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .252 figure is a fair amount lower than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game. Dansby Swanson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph to 97.5-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Trevor Story has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.9-mph average. In the last two weeks, Trevor Story's 22.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season's 89-mph EV.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the majors. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage against Lucas Giolito today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

Ceddanne Rafaela's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Ceddanne Rafaela has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13.1% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the past 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph in recent games.

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 4th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Carlos Narvaez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.1-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 91.3-mph. Placing in the 90th percentile, Carlos Narvaez has put up a .340 BABIP this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Lucas Giolito throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over Lucas Giolito in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game.