Cleveland @ Chicago picks
Rate Field
CLE vs CHW Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Joey Cantillo u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Projection 4.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Cantillo to throw 83 pitches in this game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Guaranteed Rate Field ranks as the #26 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joey Cantillo in today's game.. Joey Cantillo's 1818-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 3rd percentile out of all starters.. Given the 2.4 discrepancy between Joey Cantillo's 12.11 K/9 and his 9.71 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression in future games.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Miguel Vargas will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Edgar Quero o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Edgar Quero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Edgar Quero will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Joey Cantillo in today's game.. Edgar Quero has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Edgar Quero will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Johnathan Rodriguez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. Extreme flyball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Aaron Civale.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Colson Montgomery o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Colson Montgomery will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Guaranteed Rate Field as the 4th-best park in the majors for right-handed home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Miguel Vargas will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Daniel Schneemann o0.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Civale in today's game.. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Aaron Civale who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's game.. When it comes to power, Kyle Manzardo is ranked in the 84th percentile, having averaged 28.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Guaranteed Rate Field profiles as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today's game.. When it comes to power, Kyle Manzardo is ranked in the 84th percentile, having averaged 28.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Outs Recorded

Joey Cantillo u14.5 Outs Recorded (+108)
Projection 14.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Cantillo to throw 83 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The Chicago White Sox have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future. The #3 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. In Major League Baseball, Guaranteed Rate Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest.. Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joey Cantillo in today's game.