New York @ Kansas City picks

Kodai Senga is 7-3 in 13 starts with a stellar 1.47 ERA, holding opponents to a .195 average and striking out 70 in 73 2/3 innings of work. The Ks will be my focus for tonight’s play. Senga’s total strikeouts sit at just 4.5 this evening, and he’s cashed the Over in six consecutive appearances. 

The Mets are 20th in the majors in run first inning percentage (27.7%) with that number dipping to 23.4% on the road. Today they'll be at spacious Kauffman Stadium to face Michael Wacha who has pitched to a 2.81 ETA in nine starts at home. The Mets respond with Kodai Senga who has a 1.47 ERA through 13 starts. Senga is returning to the mound after a month on the IL so he might be on a pitch limit. That said, he should have no problem getting through the first inning against a Royals lineup that has an OPS of just .655 at home. 

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors's 9th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Pete Alonso has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 20.3% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Out of every team today, the worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .311, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 disparity between that figure and his actual .270 wOBA.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga today.. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jac Caglianone will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Checking in at the 76th percentile, Francisco Lindor has notched a .346 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The New York Mets projected lineup ranks as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best field in MLB for walks.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .311, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 disparity between that figure and his actual .270 wOBA.

Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga today.. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jac Caglianone will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors's 9th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.. Pete Alonso has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.2% rate last season to 20.3% this season.