Miami @ Baltimore picks
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
MIA vs BAL Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.
Total RBIs

Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today's game.. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Cedric Mullins tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Eric Wagaman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.1) provides evidence that Eric Wagaman has had some very poor luck this year with his 8.9 actual HR/600.. This year, the hardest ball Eric Wagaman has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.5 mph (a reliable standard to assess power), checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Total RBIs

Jordan Westburg o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Jordan Westburg will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Tyler O'Neill o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O'Neill as baseball's 13th-best home run hitter.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 92°.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the last 7 days, Tyler O'Neill has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, compiling a 50° angle.
Total RBIs

Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Jackson Holliday o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jackson Holliday's BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today.. Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) suggests that Connor Norby has had some very poor luck this year with his 13.5 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best field in the majors for run-scoring.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 90°.. In terms of his batting average, Agustin Ramirez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .249 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.