Seattle @ Detroit picks

With Luis Castillo holding Tigers hitters to a career .583 OPS and Detroit lefty Tarik Skubal leading the AL Cy Young race, expect a low-scoring affair at Comerica Park on Friday.

While both of these teams can hit, I'm far more confident in Detroit having sucess against Luis Castillo than Seattle having success versus Cy Young favorite Tarik Skubal. Castillo is in the bottom 10th percentile in hard-hit rate and barrel rate, resulting in an xERA of 4.57. He has also struggled away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, posting a 4.67 ERA with an OBA of .302 on the road. Meanwhile, Skubal leads leads the majors in WAR (4.7), FIP (1.87), and SIERA (2.31). With the Tigers playing at home after a day off, back them to get off to a fast start and have a lead after five innings. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. This game is forecasted to have the 5th-highest humidity of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Tarik Skubal.

Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (53% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Luis Castillo) today.. Among every team today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

When estimating his home run talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Dylan Moore will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Dylan Moore generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tarik Skubal.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (James Hoye) calling pitches in today's game.. Mitch Garver, the Mariners's expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Among every team today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.. Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Mitch Garver is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Mitch Garver will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball batters like Mitch Garver tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tarik Skubal.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 4th-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Tarik Skubal.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand in today's game.