Colorado @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
COL vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Jordan Beck o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. Jordan Beck pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst among all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.. Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Burns in today's matchup.. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Michael Toglia o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Toglia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases

Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 89°.. Hunter Goodman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's game.. Ryan McMahon has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan Ritter o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. The #2 ballpark in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Among all major league parks, Great American Ball Park's LF fences are the 7th-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate at 90°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams in action today.