Arizona @ San Diego Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Martin Maldonado in the 0th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Martin Maldonado is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game. 53% of the time that Martin Maldonado has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. Petco Park projects as the #23 venue in MLB for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense.

In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand today. Batters such as Alek Thomas with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Randy Vasquez who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Extreme flyball bats like Jose Herrera tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. Posting a 2.21 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jose Herrera has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The #4 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 7th-most favorable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eduardo Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Arraez in today's game. Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The #4 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to worse offense. The weather report expects the 7th-most favorable pitching weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 12th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today's game.

Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Gavin Sheets will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph average. Gavin Sheets has posted a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 78th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Jake Cronenworth will hold that advantage today. Jake Cronenworth's footspeed has improved this year. His 27.69 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.29 ft/sec now. With a 1.41 K/BB rate this year, Jake Cronenworth has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Eduardo Rodriguez in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best batter in baseball. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Ketel Marte's launch angle this season (13.9°) is a considerable increase over his 9.3° mark last season. This year, Ketel Marte's 17.3% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 95th percentile among his peers. Ranking in the 98th percentile, Ketel Marte has notched a .410 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Jake McCarthy will have the handedness advantage over Randy Vasquez in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Jake McCarthy are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Randy Vasquez. This season, Jake McCarthy has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.8 mph compared to last year's 87.1 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 15.1% to 18.1%. In the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, posting a 24.2° angle. In terms of his batting average, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had some very poor luck this year. His .258 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Jackson Merrill has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite well lately, compiling a 26.6° angle on such balls in the last week. Jackson Merrill has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .311 figure is considerably lower than his .346 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Geraldo Perdomo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph figure. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 13% to 20.2%. Geraldo Perdomo has compiled a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 86th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's matchup. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge in today's game. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. In MLB, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest. Eugenio Suarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last year's 92.6-mph figure. Last year, Eugenio Suarez had an average launch angle of 18.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.4°.

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Iglesias will have the handedness advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez today. Extreme groundball batters like Jose Iglesias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eduardo Rodriguez. Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, putting up a .249 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .032 discrepancy.

Trenton Brooks has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

James McCann has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.