Chicago @ Minnesota picks

Trevor Larnach has crushed right-handed pitching this season, especially on home soil. He's hitting .319 with a .989 OPS and .422 wOBA against righties, all of which lead regular Minnesota Twins players. He has a mouthwatering matchup this afternoon against Colin Rea. The veteran righty has struggled mightily to slow down left-handed bats. Rea has allowed a .320 average, 14.8% barrel rate, and 10 homers against lefties. They are consistently hitting for average and power against him.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report predicts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this year (14.2°) is considerably higher than his 10.2° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 11th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 82°.. Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea has a pitch-to-contact profile (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.

Carlos Correa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive ability to be a .332, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .303 wOBA.. This year, the hardest ball Carlos Correa has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.6 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), ranking in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Brooks Lee has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.9-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph mark.

The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Carson Kelly has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 12% this season.. Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

When estimating his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. In the league, the 5th-highest fences are at Target Field.. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today's game.. Typically, hitters like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today.