Chicago @ Minnesota Picks & Props

CHC vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Trevor Larnach logo Trevor Larnach o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-137)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Trevor Larnach has crushed right-handed pitching this season, especially on home soil. He's hitting .319 with a .989 OPS and .422 wOBA against righties, all of which lead regular Minnesota Twins players. He has a mouthwatering matchup this afternoon against Colin Rea. The veteran righty has struggled mightily to slow down left-handed bats. Rea has allowed a .320 average, 14.8% barrel rate, and 10 homers against lefties. They are consistently hitting for average and power against him.

Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report predicts the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this year (14.2°) is considerably higher than his 10.2° figure last year.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 11th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #6 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 82°.. Byron Buxton has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea has a pitch-to-contact profile (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Buxton.
Total RBIs
Carlos Correa logo
Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Carlos Correa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive ability to be a .332, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .303 wOBA.. This year, the hardest ball Carlos Correa has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.6 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), ranking in the 77th percentile.
Total RBIs
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea in today's matchup.. Willi Castro will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Brooks Lee logo
Brooks Lee o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Brooks Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Brooks Lee has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.9-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph mark.
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 84°.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.. Carson Kelly has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 12% this season.. Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #7 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Paddack today.. Among every team in action today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 1.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.. In the league, the 5th-highest fences are at Target Field.. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today's game.. Typically, hitters like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams today.
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CHC vs MIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Chi. Cubs

66%
34%

Total PicksCHC 489, MIN 256

Moneyline
CHC
MIN

CHC vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Shaw has suffered from bad luck this year. His .259 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Matt Shaw has suffered from bad luck this year. His .259 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 18th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Nico Hoerner's launch angle this season (13.4°) is significantly better than his 10.1° figure last year.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 18th-best batter in the majors when estimating his batting average talent. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Nico Hoerner's launch angle this season (13.4°) is significantly better than his 10.1° figure last year.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today's game. Typically, hitters like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today's game. Typically, hitters like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Colin Rea. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Tucker in today's matchup. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 23.6% to 20.3%.

Kyle Tucker logo

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Chris Paddack. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Tucker in today's matchup. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 23.6% to 20.3%.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Carson Kelly has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 12% this season. Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph figure.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Carson Kelly has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 12% this season. Carson Kelly has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph figure.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this year (14.2°) is considerably higher than his 10.2° figure last year.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Among every team in action today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins. Dansby Swanson's launch angle this year (14.2°) is considerably higher than his 10.2° figure last year.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Michael Busch is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Harrison Bader
H. Bader
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Harrison Bader has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 12.4% this year. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last season's 90.2-mph mark.

Harrison Bader logo

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Harrison Bader has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.4% rate last year to 12.4% this year. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last season's 90.2-mph mark.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Chris Paddack in this game.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Chris Paddack in this game.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's matchup.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's matchup.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's game. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 41.6% to 49.1%.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's game. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 41.6% to 49.1%.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very good luck given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325. Pete Crow-Armstrong has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 9th percentile with a 5.11 K/BB rate.

Pete Crow-Armstrong logo

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The weather report predicts the 7th-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very good luck given the .030 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325. Pete Crow-Armstrong has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 9th percentile with a 5.11 K/BB rate.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's matchup.

Matt Wallner logo

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Matt Wallner is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's matchup.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Carlos Correa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive ability to be a .332, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .303 wOBA.

Carlos Correa logo

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Carlos Correa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa's true offensive ability to be a .332, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .303 wOBA.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea in today's matchup.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Colin Rea in today's matchup.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Royce Lewis has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph figure.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Target Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in baseball for righty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Royce Lewis has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph figure.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's game. Kody Clemens has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last year's 93.8-mph figure.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #10 park in the game for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's game. Kody Clemens has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last year's 93.8-mph figure.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders

Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
All Twins Money Leaders
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