Seattle @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
SEA vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
The Bronx Bombers have been a mainstay in the Top 5 of the majors in barrel rate, and lately, they've started to expand that gap at the top due to their play. Coming into this game, the Yankees have a barrel rate of 11.6%. The next closest are the Angels at 10.8%. That may not seem like much, but when you consider that the gap between first and second is the same as it is between second and seventh, then it becomes clearer how dominant New York has been in this metric.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 7th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+105)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Evans.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Giancarlo Stanton has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans has a pitch-to-contact profile (15th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Evans in today's game.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (-105)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the game's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today.
Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the game.. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Evans.
Total Bases

Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Giancarlo Stanton has a ton of pop (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans has a pitch-to-contact profile (15th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
Outs Recorded

Logan Evans u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 14 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Logan Evans is projected to throw 80 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers today.. The New York Yankees projected lineup grades out as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.. Mark Ripperger profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.. The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total Bases

Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 7th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Trent Grisham will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Evans in today's game.